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Wait and see acetic acid Market on March 15

Trade name: acetic acid

 

Latest price (March 15): 5000 yuan / ton

 

Key points of analysis: today’s acetic acid price market continues to operate strongly, and the average market price in East China increased by 0.20% in a single day. Last week, the market price of acetic acid in various regions increased too fast. The downstream mainly digested the increase, and had a mentality of resistance to the high price supply. The rationality of entering the market just needs to be followed up, and the market is dominated by negotiation.

 

Future forecast: the short-term acetic acid market is in a stalemate, sorting and operation, and pay specific attention to the downstream purchase.

PVA

Ethylene oxide daily review (March 14, 2022)

The price of ethylene oxide is temporarily stable. The ex factory price in East China, North China, South China and Northeast China is 8200 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price in Central China is 8400 yuan / ton.

 

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Upstream ethylene fluctuated at a high level. Up to now, the external price of ethylene in Northeast Asia is 1350 US dollars / ton, and that in Southeast Asia is 1350 US dollars / ton, down 10 US dollars / ton from the price of the previous trading day. The downstream monomer market was seriously affected by the epidemic. Some monomer dealers suspended their quotation because they were unable to deliver goods, and some manufacturers in the heavily affected provinces were trapped in the dilemma of unable to get in raw materials and products. The inventory was under pressure. Individual manufacturers reduced production, and the market trading sentiment was weak.

 

Forecast: due to the loss of the whole line, although the downstream is weak and the recovery of demand side is affected by force majeure, the cost is high. If there is no special benefit, the manufacturer may take measures to reduce the burden or limit the production and price to stop the loss.

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The adverse sentiment in the lower reaches breeds, and the high price orders decrease. It is expected that the high price of metal silicon will operate stably (3.8-3.11)

441# silicon price trend

 

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Metal silicon prices rose first and then stabilized this week, and the overall rise continued to slow down until the end of the week. The market action force has been slightly insufficient. The supply of silicon plants is tight, there is no pressure on inventory, and the superposition cost supports the high and strong silicon price. According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average price of metal silicon in the domestic market on the 11th was 23910 yuan / ton, up 3.69% from last Friday and 72.53% year-on-year.

 

The prices of 441# silicon in various regions on the 11th are as follows:

 

The price range of #441 metal silicon in Huangpu port area is 23800-24000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 23900 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Tianjin port area is 23700-24000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 23850 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Kunming is 23500-23700 yuan / ton, with an average of 23600 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Sichuan is 23400-23600 yuan / ton, with an average of 23500 yuan / ton; The price range of Shanghai #441 metal silicon is 24600-24800 yuan / ton, with an average price of 24700 yuan / ton.

 

Demand side

 

In terms of organosilicon DMC, the price rose steadily and slightly. The ex factory quotation of domestic organosilicon DMC was around 35000-37000 yuan / ton, and the average price was 35720 yuan / ton. After the recent continuous rise in prices, the price began to fall, and fell nearly 3000 yuan / ton within the week, making the market confusing again. However, according to the current market, it is unlikely that silicone will continue to rebound and rise, the low pressure in the market will spread, the downstream demand support is insufficient, and the market is mainly adjusted and operated in a narrow range.

 

In terms of aluminum alloy, the high price of aluminum alloy has dropped, resulting in the customer receiving capacity of aluminum alloy to be studied, and the alloy manufacturers have followed the decline. The factory quotation of aluminum alloy ADC12 is near RMB 22300-22500 / ton. At present, the digestion of inventory is mainly for the just need to replenish the inventory of industrial silicon.

 

Future forecast

 

On the whole, traders are mainly cautious in selling goods at this stage. At present, the price is running at a high level, and the factory is reluctant to sell. On the silicon plant side, the quotation is firm because the old order has not been fully delivered, the spot inventory is not much, and the raw material price rises. The market sentiment is short, the enthusiasm of traders and downstream inquiry decreases, and the upstream and downstream game is fierce. With the increase of production in March, the output of metal silicon will increase. It is expected that the rising trend of metal silicon in the future will slow down and the high level will operate stably in the short term.

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Nickel prices fell sharply on March 10

1、 Trend analysis

 

According to the nickel price monitoring of business society, on the 10th, the nickel price fell sharply, and the spot price was reported as 241216.67 yuan / ton, down 22.22% from the previous trading day and up 96.8% year-on-year.

 

Affected by the delivery announcement issued by Castle Peak, all nickel prices fell by the limit except for the contracts in recent months. According to media reports, Castle Peak holdings replaced domestic metal nickel plates with its high matte nickel and deployed spot delivery through various channels. The nickel price market has begun to break away from the scope of fundamentals and enter the game of the market for inventory and warehouse delivery, and the market trend is more uncertain. The short-term nickel price is expected to fluctuate sharply.

PVA

On March 9, the price of PVC in China’s domestic market rose

1、 Price trend

 

Latest price (March 9): 9000 yuan / ton

 

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of business agency, the average domestic spot price of pvc5 was 9000 yuan / ton on March 9, up 1.35% compared with the previous trading day and 4.65% year-on-year. At present, the disk is relatively strong and volatile, and the PVC market price continues to rise, with a range of about 50-150 yuan / ton. Some dealers are closed and wait-and-see, and the market focus continues to move up, but the high price transaction is general. At present, the price of PVC raw material is about 4200-8850 yuan / ton.

 

The PVC market is expected to rise steadily.

PVA