The methanol market fell deeply this week. Due to the decline of coal price and the weakening of methanol cost support, Baofeng and other olefin enterprises sold methanol away, and some methanol units were restored, the supply side was abundant. In the middle of the week, the quotations of major manufacturers were successively reduced, and the price adjustment range was 100-200 yuan / ton, resulting in the continued downward price focus of the domestic methanol market, difficult transaction volume and cautious market mentality.
According to the monitoring data of business agency, from November 12 to November 19, the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises fell from 3056 yuan / ton to 2748 yuan / ton. During the cycle, the price fell by 10.09%, 34.37% month on month and 44.87% year-on-year.
As of the closing on November 19, methanol futures of Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange rebounded strongly and fell in the late trading. The main contract ma2201 closed at 2600 yuan / ton, up 58 yuan / ton compared with the closing of the previous trading day.
Summary of methanol market prices in various regions as of November 19:
Region, price
Qinghai region 3500 yuan / ton factory withdrawal cash exchange
Shanxi region 2380-2630 yuan / ton
Liaoning region 2950-2980 yuan / ton
Fujian region 2800-2850 yuan / ton
Lianghu area About 2750-2950 yuan / ton
Anhui region About 2660-2700 yuan / ton
Henan region 2550 yuan / ton
The price of methanol industrial chain products mainly fell, the coal price of methanol upstream products fell slightly, the price of natural gas was stable, and the support for methanol cost was weak; Among the downstream products, the price of formaldehyde in Shandong decreased the most; Among related products, the price of Shandong ethylene glycol decreased the most.
Comparison chart of coal / steam coal (upstream raw material) – methanol price trend of business community:
Comparison chart of natural gas (upstream raw material) – methanol price trend of business community:
In terms of external market, as of the closing on November 18, the closing price of CFR Southeast Asia methanol market was USD 445.00-446.00/t. The closing price of US Gulf methanol market is 133.50-134.50 cents / gallon; The closing price of FOB Rotterdam methanol market is 367.00-368.00 euros / ton.
region ., Country, closing price, up and down
Asia CFR Southeast Asia USD 445.00-446.00/t USD 0 / ton
Europe and America American Gulf 133.50-134.50 cents / gallon 0 cents / gallon
Europe FOB Rotterdam 367.00-368.00 euros / ton 0 euro / ton
The macro level may continue to be weak, and the price of steam coal may have limited support for the cost of methanol. In terms of fundamentals, the supply side is relatively abundant and the demand side has little change. Methanol analysts of business society expect that the domestic methanol market will be depressed in the short term.