Category Archives: Uncategorized

Supply side support for the rise in formic acid market prices

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Business Society, as of March 4th, the average price quoted by domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid enterprises was 3275.00 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.80% compared to last Tuesday (February 27th).

 

Recently, the market price of industrial grade 85% formic acid in China has risen, with mainstream enterprise quotations ranging from 3200-3400 yuan/ton. Recently, the upstream methanol price has been relatively strong, the upstream sulfuric acid price has risen, and the cost support has increased. There is no pressure on inventory on the supply side, and the supply volume is tight, supporting the market’s price support mentality. The demand side’s follow-up enthusiasm is average, and the downstream procurement mentality is still cautious. The market transaction is mainly based on demand, and the formic acid market is strong.

 

Business Society formic acid analysts believe that short-term costs and supply support still exist, and downstream inquiries and purchases are mainly based on demand. The market mentality is still acceptable, and it is expected that the domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid market will remain strong in the short term. More attention still needs to be paid to market news guidance.

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The price of aniline has stabilized this week (2024.2.26-3.1)

1、 Price trend

 

According to the commodity market analysis system of Business Society, the price of aniline has stabilized this week. On February 26th, the market price of aniline was 10987 yuan/ton, and on March 1st, it was 10987 yuan/ton. The price has stabilized compared to last week and decreased by 9.94% compared to the same period last year.

 

2、 Analysis and Review

 

Pure benzene: Yesterday, the price of pure benzene was weakly consolidated, and the trading atmosphere was average. The market atmosphere is stagnant, and both buyers and sellers have a clear wait-and-see attitude. Shandong has been experiencing consecutive days of poor shipments, putting pressure on some refineries’ inventory and causing prices to continue to decline. After the price drop, the follow-up of buying gas is average, with a focus on just needs. Night trading of pure benzene was discussed at 8350-8400 yuan/ton, and it is expected that pure benzene in East China will fluctuate and consolidate in the morning. On Friday (March 1st), the price of pure benzene was 8483 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.68% from last week and an increase of 19.42% from the same period last year.

 

Nitric acid: The domestic price of nitric acid has slightly decreased this week. On February 26th, the price was 1930 yuan/ton, and on March 1st, it was 1900 yuan/ton. The price has decreased by 1.55% compared to last week and 23.47% compared to the same period last year.

 

3、 Future expectations

 

The price of raw material pure benzene has fallen, cost support has weakened, and the shipping capacity of aniline factories is average, resulting in poor transactions. Today, the price of aniline has remained stable.

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Supply and demand imbalance accelerates the downward trend of magnesium prices (2.26-3.1)

Market analysis for this week

 

This week, the magnesium ingot market continued to operate weakly. Magnesium plants continue to produce, with accumulated inventory under pressure. Downstream enterprises are following up slowly, only maintaining essential procurement. The supply and demand sides of the magnesium market are showing a serious imbalance. And under the financial pressure at the end of the month, the overall weak situation has not significantly improved. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Business Society, as of February 29th, the average price of domestic magnesium ingots in the market was 19400 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3% compared to the previous week..

 

In terms of raw materials

 

This week, the market price of ferrosilicon in Ningxia is around 6250-6450 yuan/ton, with an average market price of 6407.14 yuan/ton. Recently, industry insiders may have high expectations for the traditional peak demand season of “gold, silver, and four”, or an important conference may be held soon to release some positive news. The market has seen a wave of upward momentum, and industry confidence has increased, with prices increasing by 50 yuan/ton.

 

This week, the price of blue charcoal has been weak, with some companies lowering their prices by 30-50 yuan/ton. The cost side of the enterprise is under great pressure, and it is basically in continuous losses. The production enthusiasm of blue charcoal enterprises has declined, and some raw material side lump coal auctions have failed. Some factories, in order to recover funds, can only continuously lower the price of magnesium ingots for shipment turnover.

 

Future Market Forecast

 

At present, there is a serious supply-demand imbalance in the magnesium ingot market, with the supply side continuing to increase. Downstream resumption of production is less than expected, and only essential procurement is needed. It is difficult for prices to rise, and it is expected that the magnesium ingot market will continue to decline in the short term.

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The antimony ingot market temporarily stabilized during the Spring Festival holiday in February 2024

According to the commodity market analysis system of Business Society, the domestic 1 # antimony ingot market remained stable in February 2024, with an average market price of 91500 yuan/ton in East China, which remained stable.

 

On February 27th, the antimony commodity index was 127.38, unchanged from yesterday and reaching a new historical high within the cycle, up 171.14% from the lowest point of 46.98 on December 24, 2015. (Note: The cycle refers to 2012-09-08 present).

 

K-bar chart of commodity prices, using the concept of price trend K-line, reflects the weekly or monthly price fluctuations in the form of a bar chart. Investors can buy and sell based on the changes in the K-bar chart. Red indicates an increase; Green indicates a decline; The height of the K-bar represents the range of fluctuations. From the above chart, it can be seen that the antimony ingot market has recently seen an upward trend before and after the Spring Festival, with a wide decline in prices in March, a stable trend in April and May, a seven week continuous decline in prices after June, an eight week continuous increase at the end of July, and a narrow decline in October and November. The recent trend is relatively stable.

 

In terms of external trading, the European strategic small metal antimony market rose in February, with a quote of $12950/ton as of the 28th, an increase of $200/ton compared to the same period last month.

 

In terms of the industrial chain, the antimony oxide market remained stable in February, with a slight recovery in overseas markets recently, driving an improvement in the domestic market mentality. However, February coincided with the Spring Festival holiday, and most smelters and downstream enterprises were in holiday mode. The overall market trading was relatively quiet, and the downstream antimony oxide market maintained on-demand replenishment, providing strong support for the antimony ingot market.

 

The antimony ingot market remained stable in February and has continued to rise since the fourth quarter of 2023, boosted by tight supply. After entering February, due to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday, market trading was relatively quiet, spot market procurement was limited, smelters and downstream enterprises also entered the holiday, and the market remained at a high level. After the European antimony ingot market rose. There is a certain boost to the domestic market mentality, but the holiday atmosphere in the market is strong, and the spot market has not followed the trend yet. The overall high level and stable operation in February are the main reasons. As downstream construction gradually begins and enterprises gradually resume production, downstream enterprises will have plans to replenish inventory as needed. However, the current market prices are running at a high level, so downstream wait-and-see sentiment is still strong, and the current market supply-demand game mentality is strong. Overall, there is a lack of actual transactions in the antimony ingot market after the holiday, and it is expected to maintain a temporary stable operation in the short term under the supply-demand game mentality. In the future, the focus will be on the replenishment needs of downstream enterprises.

 

On February 27th, the non-ferrous index was 1088 points, an increase of 1 point from yesterday, a decrease of 29.26% from the highest point in the cycle of 1538 points (2021-10-18), and an increase of 79.24% from the lowest point of 607 points on November 24, 2015. (Note: The cycle refers to 2011-12-01 present).

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On February 26th, domestic hydrochloric acid prices fell by 5.56%

Product name: Hydrochloric acid

 

Latest price (February 26th): 85 yuan/ton

 

On February 26th, the domestic market price of hydrochloric acid dropped significantly, with a decrease of 5 yuan/ton compared to February 25th, a decrease of 5.56%, and a year-on-year decrease of 48.17%. The upstream liquid chlorine market has recently stabilized at a low level, with average cost support. The downstream ammonium chloride market has fluctuated and fallen, and downstream purchasing willingness has weakened. During the holiday, some manufacturers have increased their inventory and reduced prices to attract orders.

 

The domestic hydrochloric acid market prices may fluctuate and fall in the future, with an average market price of around 80 yuan/ton.

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