The price of aluminum fluoride rose slightly this week

According to the data of the business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride rose sharply this week, and the aluminum fluoride market rose. As of September 23, the average price of aluminum fluoride in China was 10950 yuan/ton, up 1.62% from 10775 yuan/ton on September 16 last weekend. On September 22, the aluminum fluoride industry chain index was 112.39, down 0.05 points from yesterday, 18.81% from the cycle’s highest point of 138.43 (2021-11-25), and 72.22% from the lowest point of 65.26 on November 24, 2015. (Note: the cycle refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to the present).

The price of raw materials is temporarily stable this week

According to the monitoring of the business community, the price of fluorite rose slightly in September, and this week the price of fluorite was temporarily stable; In September, the price of hydrofluoric acid fell slightly, and this week, the price of hydrofluoric acid still fell. The cost of raw materials is limited, and the overall cost of aluminum fluoride is stable.

Downstream market improved

According to the monitoring of the business community, as of September 23, the price of cryolite was 7725 yuan/ton, up 0.65% from the price of 7675 yuan/ton on September 16 last weekend. The cost pressure of cryolite enterprises was high, the manufacturer’s inventory was low, and the cryolite market was high and firm.

According to the monitoring of the business community, as of September 23, the price of electrolytic aluminum was 18680 yuan/ton, down 1.18% from 18903.33 yuan/ton on September 16. Recently, Yunnan electrolytic aluminum enterprises have limited power supply and reduced production, while Sichuan electrolytic aluminum enterprises have started to recover. The limited power supply and production reduction under the aluminum price provide support. The downstream demand is limited, and the support for the rise of electrolytic aluminum is insufficient. This week, the price of electrolytic aluminum has declined slightly, and the electrolytic aluminum market has been adjusted at a high level.

Market overview and forecast

Analysts from the aluminum fluoride industry of the business community believe that: the price of aluminum fluoride raw materials has stabilized, the cost support of aluminum fluoride is limited, the inventory of aluminum fluoride enterprises is low, the price of cryolite has risen slightly, and the supply of aluminum fluoride is relatively tight. It is expected that the aluminum fluoride price will be strong and stable in the future.

According to the data monitored by the business community, the price of industrial and battery grade lithium carbonate continued to rise slightly this week. On September 22, the average price of industrial lithium carbonate in East China was 498000 yuan/ton, which was 0.81% higher than the average price at the beginning of the week (on September 18, the average price of industrial lithium carbonate in East China was 494000 yuan/ton). On September 22, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 514000 yuan/ton, which was 0.78% higher than the average price at the beginning of the week (on September 18, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 510000 yuan/ton).

According to the observation of market changes, the price of lithium carbonate still rose slightly this week. In terms of market supply, the spot market is still tight at present, and the leading large factories still focus on long order delivery, and most of them temporarily suspend external quotation due to the lack of spot sales. However, affected by the epidemic situation in Qinghai, the transportation control is still relatively strict, which makes the shipment of lithium carbonate slow.

In terms of demand, the production capacity of the downstream market continues to climb, making the demand for lithium carbonate still relatively increased. In addition, with the arrival of the fourth quarter, downstream energy enterprises prepared lithium salt raw materials for the year-end impulse, and their procurement performance was positive. Under the condition of weak supply and strong demand, the price of lithium carbonate has been rising.

The price of lithium hydroxide in the downstream is stable. Due to the high price of lithium carbonate, there is strong support for the lithium hydroxide market. Large factories give priority to the delivery of long-term orders. The spot supply in the market is still tight, and the enthusiasm of downstream inquiries is good. Under multiple supports, the focus of lithium hydroxide market negotiation is high and strong.

The price of lithium iron phosphate in the downstream increased, lithium salt maintained an upward trend, the cost of lithium iron rose slightly, and some manufacturers’ quotations increased due to the cost of raw materials. The obvious growth of downstream demand and the increase of purchase also led to the price rise of lithium iron phosphate.

Lithium carbonate analysts from the business community believe that the price of lithium carbonate has kept rising continuously in the near future. At present, the price is basically at a relatively high level, and some enterprises’ quotations are basically stable. It is expected that the short-term high price of lithium carbonate will be dominated.

On September 21, the price of acetic acid in East China was 3132.50 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.40% compared with the previous working day. In terms of on-site construction, the acetic acid plant of the plant was operating normally, and the supply of goods in the market increased. In terms of downstream, the demand for procurement did not improve significantly. Downstream plants mostly followed up on demand. The overall market delivery was average, the on-site supply was strong and the demand was weak, and the attitude of the cargo holders was wait-and-see. In order to maintain the pace of shipment, the focus of negotiations was slightly lowered, and the rise of acetic acid was weak, It is expected that the acetic acid market will operate on a wait-and-see basis, and the price will be temporarily stable, with specific attention paid to the market transaction.

The domestic MIBK market rose slightly, mainly due to the continuous upward support of acetone at the raw material end. Under the pressure of cost, the focus of negotiation rose by about 100-150 yuan/ton, and the overall negotiation range was 9750-9850 yuan/ton.

Some factories of raw acetone raised the listing price of 100 yuan/ton again today, which stimulated the market to go up. The growth of major acetone markets across the country was different, and most of them continued to go up. The offer in East China rose to 5480-5550 yuan/ton, and that in Shandong and North China was 5750 yuan/ton. The continuous upward movement of the market has increased the cost pressure on the downstream. The spot supply on the market is still tight, and the holders have little intention to sell at a low price. However, the profitable holders intend to ship, and the terminal just needs to purchase acetone. It is expected that the short-term acetone will be strong.

The operating rate of MIBK industry was around 80% in the week. The 15000 t/a MIBK plant in Zhenyang, Zhejiang, was shut down for maintenance on September 17. The operating rate of the industry was around 7 cities. The quotation of the supplier was pushed up, and the price may continue to rise in the short term

Recent price trend of sulfuric acid

As can be seen from the figure above, the price of domestic sulfuric acid market fell slightly this week. The price of sulfuric acid fell from 238.00 yuan/ton at the end of last week to 228.00 yuan/ton at the end of this week, a drop of 4.20%, and a year-on-year drop of 71.32% compared with the same period last year. On September 18, the sulfuric acid commodity index was 35.49, unchanged from yesterday, 81.13% lower than the cycle’s highest point of 188.07 (2022-04-13), and 12.60% higher than the lowest point of 31.52 on June 6, 2019. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

The upstream market was consolidated at a low level, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm was insufficient

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the price of domestic mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers fell slightly this week, the manufacturer’s inventory was average, and downstream demand weakened.

From the perspective of upstream and downstream industrial chains, the upstream sulfur market rose slightly. The sulfur price rose from 1126.67 yuan/ton at the end of last week to 1143.33 yuan/ton at the end of this week, an increase of 1.48%. Compared with the same period last year, it fell by 41.37% year on year. The upstream market fluctuated narrowly and the cost support was general. The downstream hydrofluoric acid market was consolidated at a low level, and the market price was 10540.00 yuan/ton, down 3.04% year on year compared with the same period last year. The market price of titanium dioxide in the downstream market was adjusted at a low level. The market price was 16350.00 yuan/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 21.89% compared with the same period last year. The downstream market was adjusted at a low level, and the enthusiasm for downstream procurement was weakened.

The market fell slightly after shocks

In late September, the domestic sulfuric acid market was mainly down due to slight shock. The upstream sulfur market has been in a narrow range recently, with average cost support. Downstream markets of hydrofluoric acid, titanium dioxide and ammonium sulfate were consolidated at a low level. Downstream customers were not enthusiastic about purchasing sulfuric acid, and the product trend fell due to the contradiction between supply and demand. According to the sulfuric acid analysts of the business community, the short-term domestic sulfuric acid market price may fall slightly due to the impact of supply and demand, raw materials and other aspects.