1、 Price trend
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According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average ex factory price of domestic ammonium sulfate was 1170 yuan / ton on October 1 and 1905 yuan / ton on October 31. The price of ammonium sulfate increased by 62.96% this month.
2、 Market analysis
Ammonium sulfate market rose strongly this month. In the first half of October, during the national day, the market of ammonium sulfate was stable. After the festival, the price of ammonium sulfate rose slightly under multiple favorable conditions. The market situation of coking grade ammonium sulfate is good, the supply side is tight, new orders are increased, and downstream procurement is active. The market performance of hexene grade ammonium sulfate is better. In some enterprises, there are few devices in stock for maintenance. In the second half of October, the price of ammonium sulfate began to rise sharply, ranging from 500-1000 yuan / ton. The domestic market is good, and many enterprises raise prices. Foreign demand is booming and orders are increasing. Due to good demand and tight supply, ammonium sulfate keeps rising. The mainstream factory quotation of ammonium sulfate in Shandong is 2000-2200 yuan / ton, that in Hebei is 1900-2150 yuan / ton, and that in Shanxi is 1600-2200 yuan / ton. Near the end of the month, the downstream has resistance to the high price of ammonium sulfate, and the new orders are reduced. The price rise of ammonium sulfate slowed down. Some enterprises cut prices to ensure stable shipment.
The downstream compound fertilizer market rose and fell this month, with little fluctuation. In the first half of October, the market of compound fertilizer rose steadily, with a fair trend. The price of urea, the raw material of compound fertilizer, rose, and the cost support was good. However, the trading volume is average, and they hold a wait-and-see attitude. Post finishing operation is the main task. In the second half of October, the market of compound fertilizer was unstable, and some enterprises suspended their quotation. The terminal purchases on demand, the trading volume is general, and the market of compound fertilizer fluctuates slightly. The price of raw urea fell first and then rose, the phosphate fertilizer market fell, and the potassium fertilizer rose steadily. The Hefei Conference on phosphorus recovery is about to be held, and the industry is waiting for policy guidance.
3、 Future forecast
The ammonium sulfate analyst of business society believes that due to the impact of environmental protection, production restriction and dual control, some enterprises have equipment maintenance, reduced supply and tight supply. At present, the demand side is OK, but the downstream is resistant to high prices, and the on-site attitude is obvious. It is expected that the price of ammonium sulfate will fall in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the changes in supply and downstream demand.
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