Aluminum prices fell on August 29th

Aluminum prices fell on August 29th

 

Aluminum prices rebounded overall in August, but fell on the 29th. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, on August 29, 2024, the average price of domestic aluminum ingots in the East China market was 19563.33 yuan/ton, a daily decrease of 1.26%, and an increase of 1.96% compared to the market average price of 19186.67 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month (August 1).

 

On August 29, 2024, the spot price of aluminum ingots (AL99.70) by Aluminum Corporation of China fell in various regions, with an external quotation of 19550 yuan/ton in the East China market, a daily decrease of 250 yuan/ton; The external quotation for the South China market is 19450 yuan/ton, with a daily decline of 260 yuan/ton; The Southwest market quoted 19500 yuan/ton to the outside world, with a daily decline of 270 yuan/ton; The Central Plains market quoted 19460 yuan/ton to the outside world, with a daily decline of 240 yuan/ton.

 

Reasons for the decline in aluminum prices on the 29th

 

At the macro level, the optimistic sentiment brought about by the expectation of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in September has gradually been digested, and the benefits have basically been reflected in the price level. The subsequent boosting effect has weakened.

 

2. After the rise in aluminum prices, the downstream absorption capacity weakens. Mainly due to the pessimistic long-term expectations in the downstream market, partly due to the seasonal off-season of household appliances, and partly due to the significant pressure on real estate completion, the negative feedback effect of aluminum consumption is strong; More importantly, in terms of exports, the additional tariffs on new energy vehicles in the second half of the year may gradually be implemented, and photovoltaic exports are also facing certain pressure.

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